CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x811366604ddc947502b02fe37e28f7ddc74834b86234c7bf13a8f8e5457ccf05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof MANA eSports, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Hashiras | 73c | 5,748$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.21 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked MANA eSports | 28c | 1,591$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.55 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MANA eSports | 27c | 1,373$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.84 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 28c | 1,247$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hashiras | 50c | 865.2$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.93 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed MANA eSports | 30c | 776.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.1 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MANA eSports | 23c | 771$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 664.67$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MANA eSports | 49c | 581.65$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Hashiras | 50c | 304.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.21 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MANA eSports | 29c | 285.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed MANA eSports | 7c | 193$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hashiras | 74c | 156.39$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MANA eSports | 24c | 130.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MANA eSports | 30c | 117.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MANA eSports | 19c | 65.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hashiras | 54c | 62.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hashiras | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Hashiras | 64c | 50.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hashiras | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hashiras | 57c | 41.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed MANA eSports | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hashiras | 54c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Hashiras | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Hashiras | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group AHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
- Map Handicap: Hashiras (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)Hashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.