Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Vigo Women: Matilde Jorge vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x815ca5d8104db743e5001538b9e278123f53ad77cb00100b579ba4598abf6bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonja Zhiyenbayevaof Matilde Jorge, Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Matilde Jorge | 64c | 4,663$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 21c | 2,075$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 30c | 1,538$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.25 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Matilde Jorge | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 24c | 1,400$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.8 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 36c | 1,143$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.77 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 48c | 782.61$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matilde Jorge | 56c | 700$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.23 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matilde Jorge | 79c | 623.71$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 34c | 560.16$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.71 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Matilde Jorge | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 50c | 468.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Matilde Jorge | 65c | 458.29$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.13 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 45c | 421.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.57 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Matilde Jorge | 61c | 386.81$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.75 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Matilde Jorge | 65c | 383.09$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 22c | 378$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matilde Jorge | 75c | 321.48$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.11 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 45c | 286.45$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Matilde Jorge | 66c | 279.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.78 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Matilde Jorge | 78c | 268$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Matilde Jorge | 67c | 240.87$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 46c | 219.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 45c | 213.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Matilde Jorge | 55c | 201.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Matilde Jorge | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Matilde Jorge | 68c | 177$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 36c | 138.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 46c | 118$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matilde Jorge | 76c | 102.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 39c | 97.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 40c | 78.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Matilde Jorge | 76c | 62.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 54c | 59.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Matilde Jorge | 62c | 50.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Matilde Jorge | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Matilde Jorge | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 29c | 33.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 36c | 33.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa54…12a1backed Matilde Jorge | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Matilde Jorge | 56c | 27.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Matilde Jorge | 76c | 25.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 78c | 23.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Matilde Jorge | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Matilde Jorge | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.