Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819443a3578e6a5030ae4ba257dbfee5bebf6e3e8c500b742126768c6b96a6b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 3c | 534.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 23c | 364.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 42c | 305.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 25c | 230.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…b347backed No | 46c | 218.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 50c | 199.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 50c | 195.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.01 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 78c | 139.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 32c | 131.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 129.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 62c | 127.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 53c | 120.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…3c91backed No | 49c | 118.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 36c | 115.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 47c | 112.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 42c | 107.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 45c | 107.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 39c | 100.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 59c | 98.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed Yes | 43c | 98.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 19c | 92.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 53c | 91.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 58c | 90.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 41c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 56c | 86.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 27c | 86.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 36c | 71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 58c | 64.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 56.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 59c | 56.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 54c | 55.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed No | 62c | 53.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 41c | 50.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed Yes | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 48.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 62c | 48.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked Yes | 66c | 46.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 58c | 44.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…3f63backed Yes | 52c | 44.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc4…3536backed Yes | 44c | 43.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 46c | 43.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 56c | 43.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 50c | 43.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9282…cf25backed No | 52c | 42.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed Yes | 37c | 41.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 47c | 40.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 52c | 39.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 28c | 38.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 54c | 37.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed Yes | 56c | 35.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 43c | 34.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…0988backed No | 50c | 34.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 53c | 34.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 53c | 34.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…256ebacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 233 | 62.2%145 W · 88 L | +33.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 48c | 28.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 49c | 27.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 44c | 27.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 49c | 26.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…3351backed Yes | 49c | 25.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d62…72cdbacked Yes | 49c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 50c | 24.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…5115backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 61c | 17.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 61c | 17.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.