Tennis · resolved market
ITF Columbus: Sofia Johnson vs Haruka Kaji
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81bb9f3d8ea0b668c37033af9ce03a77fe2485b9e769725c143c0d61b9889122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haruka Kajiof Sofia Johnson, Haruka Kaji
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sofia Johnson | 52c | 492.62$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Haruka Kaji | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Haruka Kaji | 71c | 147$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Haruka Kaji | 75c | 133.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sofia Johnson | 29c | 97.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Haruka Kaji | 53c | 94.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sofia Johnson | 44c | 80.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Haruka Kaji | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sofia Johnson | 49c | 73.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sofia Johnson | 27c | 69.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Haruka Kaji | 49c | 64.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Haruka Kaji | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Haruka Kaji | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Haruka Kaji | 46c | 39.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Haruka Kaji | 45c | 30.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Haruka Kaji | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Haruka Kaji | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…2e9bbacked Haruka Kaji | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Haruka Kaji | 74c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sofia Johnson | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.