Tennis · resolved market
Lille: David Goffin vs Joel Schwaerzler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82088645d161fa492cbdf525d617992b576518789b4cf72d1f203b8addab460a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Schwaerzlerof Goffin, Schwaerzler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Goffin | 33c | 4,818$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.38 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Schwaerzler | 61c | 3,542$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Schwaerzler | 60c | 2,945$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.24 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Goffin | 23c | 1,363$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Goffin | 50c | 1,301$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.15 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Goffin | 3c | 1,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Schwaerzler | 20c | 1,173$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.81 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Goffin | 56c | 1,063$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Schwaerzler | 44c | 737.21$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Goffin | 73c | 515.6$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.87 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Schwaerzler | 31c | 420.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.86 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…adbdbacked Goffin | 50c | 351.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Goffin | 46c | 344.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.66 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Schwaerzler | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Schwaerzler | 48c | 317.15$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Goffin | 56c | 315.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Schwaerzler | 27c | 292.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.59 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Goffin | 55c | 240.84$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Schwaerzler | 44c | 225.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Schwaerzler | 31c | 223.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Schwaerzler | 27c | 206.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Goffin | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Schwaerzler | 40c | 186.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Schwaerzler | 16c | 167.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…4d7abacked Schwaerzler | 31c | 162.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Schwaerzler | 24c | 156.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Schwaerzler | 28c | 120.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Goffin | 69c | 117.54$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Goffin | 71c | 116.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Schwaerzler | 46c | 103.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Goffin | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Schwaerzler | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Goffin | 21c | 97.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Schwaerzler | 13c | 93.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Schwaerzler | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Schwaerzler | 34c | 77.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Goffin | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Schwaerzler | 27c | 69.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Schwaerzler | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Schwaerzler | 27c | 61.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Goffin | 66c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Schwaerzler | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Goffin | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Schwaerzler | 28c | 51.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Goffin | 23c | 49.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Schwaerzler | 80c | 49.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 142 | 72.5%103 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Schwaerzler | 46c | 47.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Schwaerzler | 24c | 47.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Goffin | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Goffin | 78c | 40.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Goffin | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Goffin | 58c | 34.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Goffin | 62c | 30.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Goffin | 72c | 27.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Goffin | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Goffin | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…4eaabacked Schwaerzler | 63c | 21.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Goffin | 75c | 19.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Schwaerzler | 71c | 19.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille: David Goffin vs Joel Schwaerzlerthis page
- Goffin vs. Schwaerzler: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.