South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82160625488c7dcd73eae1dbac5af7b11e969d05ecf62f3ec825167995ae02c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,905 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 5,871$3,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 3,572$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 5c | 2,557$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 65c | 2,158$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.56 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,823$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.12 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 66c | 1,504$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.36 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 35c | 1,495$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.75 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 1,316$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 764.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.9 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 67c | 762.52$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.63 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 46c | 727.94$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.57 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 7c | 362.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 7c | 333$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 330.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 312.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 41c | 258$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 238.11$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 34c | 192$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 182$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 6c | 169.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 34c | 142.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 141.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 120.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 114.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 109$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 34c | 105.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 65c | 89.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 47c | 89.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 36c | 78.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 80c | 60.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 33c | 59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 34c | 59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 24c | 57.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 32c | 57.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Yes | 44c | 56.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 33c | 48.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 57c | 47.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed No | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 64c | 46.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 65c | 38.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 36.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 34c | 34.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 43c | 34.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 59c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-10?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.