South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3908753c54a2fc36160bd6274913a35df94e7d2fb9b779931e3c3505639f46c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,111 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 71c | 6,310$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 3,374$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.12 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 30c | 1,456$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,384$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.68 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,242$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.92 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 30c | 1,211$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.49 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 935$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 29c | 934.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.33 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 2c | 902.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 59c | 675.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.8 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 645.36$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.71 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 3c | 536.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 64c | 360.9$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 272.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 270.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 10c | 208.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 189.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 40c | 184.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 11c | 168.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 62c | 160.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 65c | 151.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Yes | 76c | 127$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 41c | 113.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 112$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 32c | 103.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 64c | 96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 12c | 95.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 38c | 92.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 72c | 87.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 87.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Yes | 18c | 81.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 64c | 60.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed No | 23c | 55.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…10c8backed Yes | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 61c | 53.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 34c | 42.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 36.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 35c | 33.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 29.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1628…c90bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 64c | 22.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 55c | 21.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 72c | 14.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Yes | 72c | 14.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…174ebacked Yes | 75c | 13.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked No | 77c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-03-10?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.