MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x826275c1cf2c093025a5371e8109f35a0d1feabfbd28a423ed6cecddf7638168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Colorado Rockies, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 8,635$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.76 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 7,950$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Colorado Rockies | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 3,145$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.29 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 31c | 1,455$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,000$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 990.13$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.43 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 895.61$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 587$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 471.03$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 235.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 188.66$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 160.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 117.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 70.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…380bbacked Colorado Rockies | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked San Diego Padres | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.