Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Valeria Savinykh vs Hina Inoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82beaddfcc2bc892c1cd8b60a5dbb5e61e136874fd69afdc5d95a3214e497e3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valeria Savinykhof Valeria Savinykh, Hina Inoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Hina Inoue | 65c | 22,924$14,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,965.98 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valeria Savinykh | 33c | 9,489$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,353.67 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked Hina Inoue | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 5,027$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 3,221$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.67 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hina Inoue | 53c | 3,215$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Hina Inoue | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 2,584$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.2 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valeria Savinykh | 73c | 1,379$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.43 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Valeria Savinykh | 55c | 1,059$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.84 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Valeria Savinykh | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hina Inoue | 23c | 634$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valeria Savinykh | 47c | 440.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.91 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Valeria Savinykh | 47c | 342.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hina Inoue | 31c | 290.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Valeria Savinykh | 55c | 250.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Valeria Savinykh | 44c | 236.41$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Valeria Savinykh | 56c | 233.11$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Valeria Savinykh | 34c | 210.29$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Valeria Savinykh | 36c | 200.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 191.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 173.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Valeria Savinykh | 46c | 161.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hina Inoue | 31c | 154.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hina Inoue | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Hina Inoue | 61c | 134.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Valeria Savinykh | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Hina Inoue | 69c | 124.76$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Valeria Savinykh | 46c | 121$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Valeria Savinykh | 44c | 118.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 111.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Valeria Savinykh | 49c | 102.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Valeria Savinykh | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Valeria Savinykh | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Valeria Savinykh | 31c | 90.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Valeria Savinykh | 20c | 90.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Valeria Savinykh | 41c | 83.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Valeria Savinykh | 46c | 77.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hina Inoue | 56c | 65.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Hina Inoue | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Hina Inoue | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Valeria Savinykh | 52c | 63.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Hina Inoue | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Valeria Savinykh | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Valeria Savinykh | 69c | 50.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Hina Inoue | 73c | 46.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7cf8backed Valeria Savinykh | 42c | 46.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Valeria Savinykh | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Valeria Savinykh | 46c | 42.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Hina Inoue | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked Valeria Savinykh | 45c | 33.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Valeria Savinykh | 41c | 31.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Hina Inoue | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hina Inoue | 77c | 28.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Hina Inoue | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Hina Inoue | 43c | 24.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hina Inoue | 58c | 24.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Hina Inoue | 78c | 23.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hina Inoue | 62c | 21.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Hina Inoue | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.