MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d757fb8b0fe92f0b406aa3e1d4326fdadcd981af9092fcbc04abbe2f4002dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Brewers | 59c | 32,446$19,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,142.89 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 21,430$8,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,643.71 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 53c | 19,637$10,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,436.23 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 18,417$7,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,866.1 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 10,597$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,252.3 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 34c | 9,499$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.4 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 30c | 5,378$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 4,902$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.18 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 4,743$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.52 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Brewers | 59c | 3,564$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 59c | 2,939$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.03 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,929$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.5 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Brewers | 9c | 2,678$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.51 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,353$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.06 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 59c | 2,203$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 2,029$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Brewers | 60c | 1,900$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,900$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,524$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Brewers | 61c | 1,439$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,390$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 1,384$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ea…0fc1backed Brewers | 61c | 1,079$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.08 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…9076backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,041$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…38a9backed Brewers | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Brewers | 23c | 999.72$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.86 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef3…f121backed Brewers | 59c | 983$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e8…0bdbbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 959$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.81 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Brewers | 23c | 912.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 902.39$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 900.38$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.23 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 857.21$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 824.63$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.71 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 771.86$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Brewers | 52c | 620$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 619.46$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 60c | 617.92$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.75 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Brewers | 35c | 590.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 579.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.19 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Brewers | 32c | 549.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…ee4fbacked Diamondbacks | 76c | 528.28$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Brewers | 59c | 508$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 59c | 508$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 489.2$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Brewers | 60c | 471.25$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 444.2$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 60c | 442.97$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.78 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 441.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.29 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 440$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Brewers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 27c | 402.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Brewers | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 397.71$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 374.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 349.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Brewers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Diamondbacks | 76c | 312.59$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Brewers | 59c | 310$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Diamondbacks | 69c | 293.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.84 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Brewers | 24c | 289.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 58c | 284.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Brewers | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 258.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Diamondbacks | 77c | 256.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 245$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Brewers | 54c | 243.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 240.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…da9fbacked Brewers | 60c | 240.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Brewers | 27c | 228.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 59c | 209.6$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.66 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Brewers | 60c | 205$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Brewers | 7c | 203.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewersthis page
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.