Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ystad: Gergana Topalova vs Loes Ebeling Koning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x847731da90e224bbe46346ff64f84dcfe32f23e62aec119f99408521e38ea052
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gergana Topalovaof Gergana Topalova, Loes Ebeling Koning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 46c | 2,516$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.65 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 60c | 886.33$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.58 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Gergana Topalova | 67c | 885$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gergana Topalova | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 42c | 528$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.79 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Gergana Topalova | 53c | 511.24$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.02 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gergana Topalova | 43c | 493.27$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.24 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Gergana Topalova | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Gergana Topalova | 72c | 295.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 41c | 282$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 63c | 231.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.27 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gergana Topalova | 40c | 218.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…4a90backed Gergana Topalova | 77c | 211$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gergana Topalova | 45c | 184.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Gergana Topalova | 73c | 180.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Gergana Topalova | 41c | 123.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 18c | 120.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 31c | 114.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 43c | 99.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 37c | 97.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 26c | 83.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Gergana Topalova | 71c | 71.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Gergana Topalova | 45c | 69.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Gergana Topalova | 39c | 65.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Gergana Topalova | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 41c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 28c | 48.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Loes Ebeling Koning | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Loes Ebeling Koning | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Gergana Topalova | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Gergana Topalova | 45c | 24.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…32f2backed Gergana Topalova | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.