Lol · resolved market
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84baa1268036edf2132ccf74c7bd5f8cd7cffc65340db7110c67bd07154494f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfaf…9875backed G2 NORD | 0c | 5,118$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked BIG | 60c | 2,013$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed G2 NORD | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed G2 NORD | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed G2 NORD | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 154 | 3.9%6 W · 148 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked BIG | 59c | 945.93$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.56 | 183 | 35.5%65 W · 118 L | -23.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed BIG | 64c | 779.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.88 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 NORD | 29c | 735$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed G2 NORD | 4c | 599.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed G2 NORD | 42c | 499.93$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked G2 NORD | 34c | 451.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.48 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed G2 NORD | 35c | 400.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 1,203 | 35.7%430 W · 773 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 NORD | 15c | 396.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed G2 NORD | 11c | 381.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed G2 NORD | 40c | 354.25$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.7 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed BIG | 65c | 345.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked G2 NORD | 12c | 340.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed G2 NORD | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,397 | 43.7%611 W · 786 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked BIG | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed G2 NORD | 27c | 272$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed G2 NORD | 15c | 248.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed G2 NORD | 36c | 233.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 158 | 29.7%47 W · 111 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed G2 NORD | 9c | 217.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 484 | 38%184 W · 300 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed G2 NORD | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed G2 NORD | 16c | 170.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed G2 NORD | 9c | 169.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 352 | 23.9%84 W · 268 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed G2 NORD | 36c | 165.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…0d14backed BIG | 62c | 164.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed G2 NORD | 15c | 143.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,129 | 30%339 W · 790 L | -27.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed BIG | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed BIG | 65c | 137.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 698 | 57.4%401 W · 297 L | +37.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 NORD | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1,349 | 31.1%420 W · 929 L | -128.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x466b…7fd3backed BIG | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked BIG | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 500 | 55.4%277 W · 223 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked G2 NORD | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed G2 NORD | 19c | 95.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked G2 NORD | 31c | 64.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 400 | 31.3%125 W · 275 L | -28.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed BIG | 64c | 56.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed BIG | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,251 | 54.1%677 W · 574 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked BIG | 62c | 39.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed BIG | 65c | 38.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed BIG | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 189 | 60.3%114 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7050backed BIG | 67c | 37.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked BIG | 65c | 31.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 295 | 54.2%160 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…8444backed BIG | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…e014backed BIG | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…221fbacked BIG | 62c | 19.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d9…25cbbacked BIG | 62c | 19.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsG2 NORD won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 2 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 WinnerG2 NORD won
- LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 4 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.