Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84e1e14fe6725ca2f8c5c6e90a481e818bc2fc70bfedf9ee6802a33dc483f87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 41c | 8,647$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,101.9 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 59c | 5,796$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.88 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 2,679$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 59c | 2,282$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.38 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 417.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 58c | 364.95$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 46c | 284.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked No | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 58c | 242.45$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 58c | 162.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 54c | 129$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 41c | 124.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 58c | 118$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 118$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 63c | 110.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 49c | 108.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Yes | 60c | 102.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 50c | 78.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 47c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 65c | 58.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 46c | 58.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed No | 41c | 51.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 58c | 50.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 46c | 45.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…9459backed Yes | 68c | 43.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 43.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 60c | 30.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 55c | 25.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 58c | 22.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Yes | 53c | 22.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 65c | 21.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 57c | 21.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 60c | 18.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.