Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca92221c77d94d6f707caa2d0d6dcb112ceb1cd6aeac9f5f5faf8554ed475365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 1c | 2,510$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +352.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 72c | 2,083$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 2,028$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 23c | 1,803$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.03 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 1,703$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.47 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.46 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 26c | 1,526$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.28 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 74c | 1,240$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.48 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 1,213$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.11 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 45c | 692.88$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.42 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +400.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Over | 79c | 400$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Over | 79c | 389.96$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 13c | 364.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.22 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 33c | 334.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 11c | 317.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 5c | 317.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 24c | 302.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 6c | 215.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 21c | 187$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 21c | 173.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 42c | 150.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 22c | 139.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 31c | 130.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 27c | 115$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 77c | 112.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 44c | 105.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 34c | 97.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 58c | 86.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 78c | 67.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 64.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 77c | 64.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 29c | 62.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 32c | 54.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 72c | 43.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Over | 53c | 35.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 47c | 35.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 78c | 34.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 29.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 71c | 28.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 80c | 27.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…05a7backed Over | 77c | 18.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5this page
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.