Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd050b79f65ea1bf6c8bdb8aaf9aa3328376c222197a4734589893e90caca44a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 2,049$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.5 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 2,046$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 68c | 1,061$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.75 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 76c | 599.96$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 33c | 472$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Under | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 32c | 386.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 339.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 32c | 301.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 285.61$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 75c | 252.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 32c | 162.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 79c | 141.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 75c | 126.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 28c | 123.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 68c | 93.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 32c | 72.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 68c | 61.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 31c | 58.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…664fbacked Over | 31c | 47.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 69c | 47.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 78c | 36.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 79c | 36.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 79c | 32.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Under | 70c | 29.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 76c | 27.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 73c | 16.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5this page
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.