Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9900e73d854e52487c8a353dddf87166f6183598ae7d836e9ca67b193329bfb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 8,787$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 45c | 5,000$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.98 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 4,163$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 43c | 3,883$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.92 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Over | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 2,129$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.69 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed Over | 51c | 2,054$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 55c | 1,700$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.26 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…040ebacked Over | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 784.27$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 76c | 545.06$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.26 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 47c | 479.95$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.58 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 3c | 415.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 48c | 335$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 318.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 60c | 261.67$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Over | 14c | 255$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 55c | 238$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.31 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 219.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 197.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 56c | 166.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 52c | 146.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 9c | 142.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 127.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 69c | 117.34$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Over | 37c | 103.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 84.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 53c | 79.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 56c | 74.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 53c | 73.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…3f8dbacked Over | 47c | 67.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 57c | 56.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…6d8cbacked Under | 49c | 56.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 61c | 51.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 55c | 49.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 55c | 48.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 55c | 47.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 43c | 46.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 67c | 41.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 45c | 41.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 54c | 36.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 72c | 26.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…bbecbacked Over | 53c | 25.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Over | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 23.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Under | 73c | 22.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 68c | 17.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 69c | 14.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…d175backed Under | 80c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5this page
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- IK Start vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)IK Start won
- Spread: IK Start (-1.5)Fredrikstad FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.