Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x857f9962f244969271230d72a1b9e8b2d54c735a697dc5fe572c9d148e839b0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiveof Spirit Academy, Hive
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1b7…fdf1backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 41,412$19,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,794.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Hive | 50c | 7,663$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,831.52 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Spirit Academy | 57c | 4,155$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.09 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Hive | 61c | 4,129$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.01 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Hive | 50c | 3,756$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.25 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Hive | 76c | 3,390$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.54 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Hive | 40c | 2,970$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hive | 53c | 2,619$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.21 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Hive | 50c | 2,389$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.83 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Hive | 46c | 2,159$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.74 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Hive | 52c | 2,133$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.58 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Hive | 57c | 1,718$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.99 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hive | 62c | 1,662$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.19 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Hive | 50c | 1,330$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.04 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Hive | 42c | 1,206$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.83 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Hive | 50c | 1,119$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Hive | 55c | 915$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Hive | 50c | 822.31$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.88 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Hive | 50c | 802.16$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.08 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hive | 58c | 797.93$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.19 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Spirit Academy | 57c | 749.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Hive | 50c | 735.34$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.67 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.85 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Hive | 50c | 688.07$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hive | 58c | 656.27$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.65 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Hive | 49c | 649.53$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.26 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hive | 62c | 645.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.31 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Hive | 79c | 624.71$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Hive | 50c | 596.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Hive | 49c | 562$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.88 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Hive | 50c | 552.19$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Hive | 50c | 544.39$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Hive | 57c | 524.82$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.89 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Hive | 65c | 510.01$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.4 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Hive | 51c | 508$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Hive | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hive | 49c | 491.56$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.17 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Hive | 50c | 472.57$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…668abacked Spirit Academy | 48c | 416.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Hive | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Hive | 49c | 350.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hive | 62c | 316$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hive | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Spirit Academy | 58c | 298.51$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hive | 48c | 282.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.11 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Hive | 50c | 259.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Hive | 78c | 255.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hive | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Hive | 57c | 242.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Hive | 65c | 208.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Hive | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Spirit Academy | 41c | 160$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Hive | 62c | 141.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hive | 62c | 139.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Spirit Academy | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Spirit Academy | 36c | 123.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Hive | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Hive | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Hive | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Hive | 43c | 113.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hive | 42c | 111.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…dbe6backed Hive | 49c | 103.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Hive | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Hive | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Hive | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 74.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 74.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Hive | 69c | 71.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Hive | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Hive | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Hive | 50c | 59.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Hive | 60c | 58.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 57.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hive | 55c | 55.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Hive | 62c | 54.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Spirit Academy | 58c | 51.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Hive | 46c | 43.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Spirit Academy | 61c | 33.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Hive | 65c | 30.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Hive | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed Hive | 46c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Hive | 60c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…10a2backed Spirit Academy | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Hive | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsHive won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.