Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf106f7d9b9e54b2b7f8127aae97b1006359fe1a1aee76fba5677db2ef27799fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiveof Spirit Academy, Hive
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1b7…fdf1backed Spirit Academy | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Hive | 49c | 16,559$8,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,503.1 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Hive | 62c | 8,062$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.86 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.94 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Hive | 51c | 5,269$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.69 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hive | 67c | 2,381$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.81 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 67c | 2,288$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Hive | 50c | 2,246$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.35 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Hive | 49c | 2,222$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Hive | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Hive | 50c | 1,989$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.28 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Hive | 48c | 1,840$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.93 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Hive | 50c | 1,636$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Hive | 50c | 1,532$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.99 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Hive | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.01 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Hive | 67c | 1,189$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Hive | 50c | 1,171$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Hive | 50c | 1,166$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hive | 48c | 1,064$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.95 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Hive | 53c | 1,000$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Spirit Academy | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Hive | 61c | 835.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.21 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Spirit Academy | 73c | 797.83$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.22 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Hive | 50c | 781.7$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.85 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Hive | 50c | 764.94$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.47 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Hive | 51c | 692$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.4 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…37e9backed Hive | 43c | 638.64$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hive | 44c | 631.79$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.8 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hive | 46c | 610.77$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.19 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Hive | 75c | 570$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Hive | 48c | 522.22$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.44 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Hive | 50c | 522$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…cf93backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 520.49$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Hive | 49c | 487.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.96 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Hive | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Hive | 58c | 443.97$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Hive | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 389.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hive | 48c | 373.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.21 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Hive | 50c | 370.19$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Hive | 58c | 364.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Hive | 45c | 361$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hive | 59c | 346.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.46 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Hive | 50c | 340.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hive | 55c | 338.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.85 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 330.12$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db9…668abacked Hive | 40c | 327.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Hive | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Hive | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hive | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Spirit Academy | 30c | 292.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hive | 44c | 287.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 281.27$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Hive | 63c | 270$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Hive | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Hive | 60c | 258.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Hive | 33c | 251.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Hive | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Hive | 80c | 224.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hive | 49c | 219.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Hive | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Hive | 79c | 200.04$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 93 | 65.6%61 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Hive | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Hive | 50c | 197.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 190.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Hive | 48c | 187.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Hive | 27c | 177.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 174.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hive | 36c | 166.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Spirit Academy | 30c | 163.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Hive | 46c | 160.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Spirit Academy | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hive | 48c | 149$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Hive | 46c | 141.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Spirit Academy | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Spirit Academy | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed Hive | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Hive | 51c | 115$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Hive | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Hive | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Spirit Academy | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Spirit Academy | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4385…5560backed Hive | 50c | 98.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Hive | 64c | 85.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Hive | 47c | 84.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Hive | 50c | 79.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Spirit Academy | 64c | 78.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spirit Academy | 53c | 74.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Spirit Academy | 22c | 67.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Spirit Academy | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…ac42backed Hive | 41c | 53.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hive | 30c | 52.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Hive | 75c | 50.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…89adbacked Hive | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 48.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hive | 48c | 46.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive - Game 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive - Game 2 WinnerHive won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.