Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hechingen: Barbora Palicova vs Fiona Ferro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8620fd9d0f5a905a6505eb1c884df616a3713669601c7fd4f67584c3117f926a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barbora Palicovaof Barbora Palicova, Fiona Ferro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2978…b511backed Barbora Palicova | 11c | 2,776$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.2 | 457 | 32.4%148 W · 309 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Barbora Palicova | 10c | 2,516$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.04 | 989 | 7.9%78 W · 911 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Barbora Palicova | 31c | 1,748$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.19 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Fiona Ferro | 42c | 1,266$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.07 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Barbora Palicova | 22c | 890.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.85 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Barbora Palicova | 39c | 853.85$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.82 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Barbora Palicova | 66c | 500$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,804 | 53.7%1,505 W · 1,299 L | +71.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Fiona Ferro | 57c | 352.55$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Barbora Palicova | 32c | 289.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.12 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…cf7cbacked Fiona Ferro | 75c | 266.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Barbora Palicova | 15c | 252.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.65 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Fiona Ferro | 69c | 218.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Fiona Ferro | 61c | 163.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barbora Palicova | 16c | 156.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed Barbora Palicova | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Barbora Palicova | 33c | 138.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 420 | 35.5%149 W · 271 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Barbora Palicova | 43c | 116.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Fiona Ferro | 53c | 113.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Fiona Ferro | 53c | 95.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Barbora Palicova | 46c | 79.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Barbora Palicova | 27c | 66.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Fiona Ferro | 56c | 62.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Barbora Palicova | 43c | 51.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Fiona Ferro | 73c | 37.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Fiona Ferro | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 139 | 61.9%86 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Fiona Ferro | 79c | 28.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1,095 | 73.6%806 W · 289 L | +40.3wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fiona Ferro | 74c | 25.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…4cf2backed Fiona Ferro | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +252.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Fiona Ferro | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Fiona Ferro | 63c | 20.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fiona Ferro | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 604 | 41.2%249 W · 355 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Fiona Ferro | 78c | 15.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Fiona Ferro | 77c | 15.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.