CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x863c93a85f8a992a4ef0fcc93a009edd63379f22043f82737dcac62a158c2a1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof Eternal Fire, INOX Division
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 3,860$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.95 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked INOX Division | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Eternal Fire | 21c | 2,397$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.17 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 1,381$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.56 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed INOX Division | 56c | 1,035$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.62 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed INOX Division | 43c | 614.03$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.57 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Eternal Fire | 21c | 564.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.34 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked INOX Division | 53c | 527.78$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 51c | 341.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed INOX Division | 34c | 320$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.28 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked INOX Division | 46c | 315$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed INOX Division | 37c | 276.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.34 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed INOX Division | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Eternal Fire | 18c | 232.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 206.91$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 168.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed INOX Division | 27c | 160.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Eternal Fire | 13c | 155.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 58.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed INOX Division | 38c | 52.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed INOX Division | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed INOX Division | 54c | 48.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed INOX Division | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 43.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 40.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked INOX Division | 42c | 36.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked INOX Division | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 33.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked INOX Division | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed INOX Division | 37c | 27.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked INOX Division | 40c | 26.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…4998backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 25.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed INOX Division | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Eternal Fire | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.