Cricket · resolved market
Will New Zealand win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x864ae959be26617cf850fdf4d720e193deeacc11b0a5c66def3f3c243bd5cd26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 14c | 13,133$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.15 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 26c | 10,835$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.48 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 24c | 4,256$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.34 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a349backed Yes | 71c | 4,201$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.08 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.89 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 69c | 2,135$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.56 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Yes | 79c | 1,382$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes | 73c | 1,174$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed No | 26c | 1,024$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.54 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed No | 21c | 754$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…1ee2backed Yes | 72c | 483.05$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950f…1f8dbacked Yes | 76c | 460.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3c32backed Yes | 65c | 436.32$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.71 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…ac2cbacked Yes | 64c | 409$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f24…6e22backed Yes | 66c | 408.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419a…f415backed Yes | 75c | 265.32$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…0de7backed Yes | 67c | 210.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Yes | 76c | 205$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…e995backed Yes | 66c | 201.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 12c | 193.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked No | 20c | 186.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…b562backed No | 30c | 181.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 16c | 161.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 71c | 155.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Yes | 67c | 140$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb83…a513backed Yes | 79c | 132.13$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…75ffbacked No | 13c | 130.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 30c | 127.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 64c | 105.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Yes | 71c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 17c | 98.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…b28dbacked No | 14c | 85.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…82f2backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Yes | 72c | 70.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Yes | 69c | 61.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…65fdbacked Yes | 66c | 59.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…a376backed Yes | 75c | 57.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…1f98backed No | 20c | 56.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…fc30backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3203backed Yes | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…7127backed No | 32c | 51.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…8a00backed No | 21c | 49.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…46c7backed Yes | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…f6acbacked Yes | 71c | 32.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…517ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…51dabacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…10c3backed Yes | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7870…7f43backed Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…617abacked Yes | 65c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Yes | 72c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 193 | 65.8%127 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be2…d345backed Yes | 71c | 19.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New Zealand win?this page
- Will Ireland win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.