Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ontinyent: Neus Torner Sensano vs Maria Garcia Cid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8671182a5fcf930ba4183331f78b9becbd1e087fe52ed58cbd265859415d4958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neus Torner Sensanoof Neus Torner Sensano, Maria Garcia Cid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Maria Garcia Cid | 43c | 1,394$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.42 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Neus Torner Sensano | 21c | 700.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.35 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Neus Torner Sensano | 60c | 364.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Neus Torner Sensano | 52c | 334.09$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.06 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Neus Torner Sensano | 43c | 332.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed Maria Garcia Cid | 34c | 257.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Neus Torner Sensano | 41c | 164.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Maria Garcia Cid | 33c | 139.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Neus Torner Sensano | 50c | 129.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Neus Torner Sensano | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Neus Torner Sensano | 63c | 98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…0538backed Maria Garcia Cid | 37c | 73.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Neus Torner Sensano | 50c | 64.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Maria Garcia Cid | 35c | 60.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Neus Torner Sensano | 68c | 58.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Neus Torner Sensano | 67c | 49.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Maria Garcia Cid | 40c | 44.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…342ebacked Maria Garcia Cid | 38c | 40.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Neus Torner Sensano | 47c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Neus Torner Sensano | 43c | 32.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Neus Torner Sensano | 56c | 28.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Maria Garcia Cid | 42c | 26.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.