Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x867f3958d4359d424d56e9ed7fcf09c84172ed2280c3ad16625577e5ba746975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,516 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 56c | 3,371$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.13 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 2,300$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.77 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 48c | 1,487$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.71 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,239$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.76 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 1,097$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.62 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 48c | 624.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 60c | 551.54$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.3 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 57c | 327.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 48c | 309.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 42c | 309.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 307.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 32c | 299.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.46 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 42c | 234.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 46c | 214.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 46c | 129.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 46c | 129.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 108.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 53c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 66.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 41c | 59.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 56.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 55.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 52c | 54.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 52.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 57c | 52.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Under | 48c | 38.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Under | 46c | 25.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…48cabacked Over | 59c | 24.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 55c | 21.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 147.5this page
- Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue HensDelaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-6.5)Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
- Spread: Sam Houston Bearkats (-7.5)Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.