CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86818f87540289a39eb7704f5b45282478009c965be8fdacac5e26ef4dff5417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 43c | 2,046$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.53 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…8251backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 1,979$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb454…a98cbacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.98 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Keyd | 76c | 816.72$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.46 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Keyd | 21c | 633.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Keyd | 51c | 421.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.21 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Fluxo W7M | 37c | 339.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 70c | 287.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Keyd | 34c | 267.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Keyd | 50c | 267.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…e9c9backed Keyd | 46c | 260.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 257.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Keyd | 30c | 251.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.37 | 254 | 42.1%107 W · 147 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M | 16c | 231.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 49c | 230$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Keyd | 70c | 203.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Fluxo W7M | 78c | 183.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Keyd | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keyd | 56c | 149$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.49 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Fluxo W7M | 36c | 143$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.53 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Keyd | 50c | 141.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Keyd | 32c | 136$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked Keyd | 70c | 125.17$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Keyd | 34c | 122.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 122.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Keyd | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Keyd | 42c | 115.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M | 19c | 100.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 60c | 100.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Keyd | 47c | 98.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…452fbacked Keyd | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Keyd | 63c | 84.65$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 209 | 35.9%75 W · 134 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Keyd | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 70.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Keyd | 41c | 67.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fluxo W7M | 59c | 58.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Keyd | 51c | 57.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Keyd | 40c | 55.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 170 | 68.2%116 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Keyd | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Keyd | 64c | 40.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 141 | 69.5%98 W · 43 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fluxo W7M | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Keyd | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Keyd | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…a2adbacked Keyd | 77c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…7518backed Keyd | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Fluxo W7M | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Keyd | 62c | 26.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Keyd | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 186 | 80.6%150 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 20.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 20.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.