Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x873360c3d0e916d0a7aba017a6cdd612a80ce46fb7f0b97d25f77302df351491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 51,868$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,846.87 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Yes | 10c | 23,936$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.2 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 7,511$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,930$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.98 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…da4dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,042$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +225.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,828$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…4245backed Yes | 8c | 2,079$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.28 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 2,035$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.71 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 9c | 641$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 13c | 615.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 10c | 599.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 11c | 578.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 12c | 552.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 11c | 511.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 11c | 406.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…36bcbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…6b9abacked Yes | 6c | 250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 11c | 215$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…3371backed Yes | 11c | 190.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…4f59backed Yes | 15c | 164.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 150.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 10c | 129.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8142…4d1fbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…64a0backed Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…fa8dbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana leading at halftime?this page
- Colombia leading at halftime?Yes won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.