WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8802a164bbdaff9a66c2fd66ea11670adad532b27ce95ad747dc0c26047aef44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 52c | 15,000$7,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,798.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 48c | 12,443$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,470.25 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,492$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 51c | 2,154$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 48c | 833.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.32 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 45c | 486.57$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.61 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 467.01$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 48c | 336.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 280$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 49c | 180$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 48c | 159.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 115.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 50c | 99.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 98.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 73.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 25c | 53.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 47c | 50.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 47c | 36.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5this page
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Indiana FeverWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 169.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 171.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 174.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.