Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Division One vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8827c302079ce6f3322580453ed75448e0bdaf95ae6844d2e056c1993d1e1ebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Division Oneof Division One, Pigeons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x685f…c586backed Division One | 69c | 596.86$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed Division One | 61c | 595.55$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.26 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Division One | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pigeons | 33c | 447.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pigeons | 26c | 331.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Pigeons | 32c | 316.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Division One | 70c | 299.22$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Pigeons | 28c | 275.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pigeons | 36c | 267.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…13f4backed Division One | 69c | 240.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked Pigeons | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Division One | 66c | 186.53$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Pigeons | 39c | 160.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Pigeons | 29c | 127.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Pigeons | 38c | 119.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Division One | 68c | 114.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pigeons | 29c | 114.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Pigeons | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…498cbacked Pigeons | 42c | 99.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Pigeons | 31c | 98.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pigeons | 23c | 96.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Pigeons | 32c | 88.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Pigeons | 56c | 86.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…75debacked Pigeons | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Division One | 67c | 80.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Pigeons | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed Division One | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Division One | 73c | 64.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Pigeons | 41c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Pigeons | 30c | 59.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Division One | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Division One | 63c | 50.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pigeons | 28c | 49.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Division One | 73c | 45.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Pigeons | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Pigeons | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Pigeons | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Division One | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Division One | 71c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Division One vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: PGS (-1.5) vs Division One (+1.5)Division One won
- Valorant: Division One vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageDivision One won
- Valorant: Division One vs Pigeons - Map 1 WinnerDivision One won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.