Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a0e1c10c1dcc9300510cea4e49886aeb7fe45f8ef9a1260366724a53edce969
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 7,117$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.93 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 6,667$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.48 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed L1ga Team | 60c | 2,658$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.5 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed L1ga Team | 62c | 2,594$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.58 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 1,983$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.05 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 1,377$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.85 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 62c | 1,230$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.36 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 1,203$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.12 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed L1ga Team | 66c | 1,006$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.76 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 893.89$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 857.43$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 700.82$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.29 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 683.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 69c | 615.16$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.34 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 600$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 592.63$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 566.17$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 562$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 488$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 69c | 470.93$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 418.68$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 392.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked L1ga Team | 66c | 391.86$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 64c | 377.81$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 312.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed L1ga Team | 64c | 308.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked L1ga Team | 63c | 286.26$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.98 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 262.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 241.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 239.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 226.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 57c | 218.7$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 200.19$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked L1ga Team | 71c | 199.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 61c | 179.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed L1ga Team | 65c | 150.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed L1ga Team | 71c | 135.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 112.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed L1ga Team | 67c | 110.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed L1ga Team | 77c | 104$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 92.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 91.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 88.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 79.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked L1ga Team | 67c | 79.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 65.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…81b9backed L1ga Team | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 54.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed L1ga Team | 67c | 53.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 49.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed L1ga Team | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 41.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 40.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked L1ga Team | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 37.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…7807backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 27.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked L1ga Team | 63c | 24.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed L1ga Team | 60c | 23.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 22.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.