Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40962353f3e70e99e8fed01a22de9ab9a6ca3ff4c2421d14c0de12c2cc2f605

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Nemiga Gaming
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1a72…e380backed Nemiga Gaming	0c	15,887$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Nemiga Gaming	32c	5,972$1,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,911.16	117	42.7%50 W · 67 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Nemiga Gaming	25c	3,473$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.11	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed L1ga Team	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked L1ga Team	66c	1,755$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.92	236	53%125 W · 111 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed L1ga Team	71c	1,685$1,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.49	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked L1ga Team	72c	1,446$1,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.02	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team	68c	999.92$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.97	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nemiga Gaming	30c	791.7$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.51	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab90…a576backed L1ga Team	70c	742.84$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.85	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked L1ga Team	70c	574.91$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.14	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed L1ga Team	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	251	50.2%126 W · 125 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team	74c	500$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked L1ga Team	70c	464.97$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.18	772	56.5%436 W · 336 L	+30.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Nemiga Gaming	28c	433.36$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.34	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed L1ga Team	72c	419.09$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.35	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming	31c	367.78$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.03	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked L1ga Team	73c	350.47$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.63	76	57.9%44 W · 32 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed L1ga Team	74c	306.7$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.17	361	38.2%138 W · 223 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Nemiga Gaming	30c	303.37$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.01	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked L1ga Team	69c	300$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	562	43.2%243 W · 319 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Nemiga Gaming	25c	294.25$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.98	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked L1ga Team	71c	245.65$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.24	179	54.2%97 W · 82 L	-12.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team	70c	245.5$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.65	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nemiga Gaming	28c	222.15$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.2	515	50.9%262 W · 253 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed L1ga Team	73c	203.54$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.96	141	54.6%77 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Nemiga Gaming	16c	202.43$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	779	41.1%320 W · 459 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked L1ga Team	70c	199.27$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.78	700	52.3%366 W · 334 L	+47.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming	28c	149.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed L1ga Team	72c	146.4$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.49	805	44.6%359 W · 446 L	-25.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed L1ga Team	64c	143.81$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.16	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0256…2b78backed L1ga Team	70c	140.94$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ef5…3ff6backed Nemiga Gaming	24c	135.13$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.45	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team	74c	120$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.8	745	49.3%367 W · 378 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed L1ga Team	70c	114.83$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.98	132	59.8%79 W · 53 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Nemiga Gaming	28c	106.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.95	164	37.2%61 W · 103 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e0…6821backed Nemiga Gaming	27c	106.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.69	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed L1ga Team	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	502	47.6%239 W · 263 L	+31.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed L1ga Team	72c	98.63$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed L1ga Team	74c	97.11$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.25	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+65.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed L1ga Team	70c	97$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.22	198	57.1%113 W · 85 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Nemiga Gaming	30c	88.03$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9968…c84bbacked Nemiga Gaming	22c	79.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked L1ga Team	71c	79.34$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.62	147	62.6%92 W · 55 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked Nemiga Gaming	29c	77.59$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36e8…db37backed L1ga Team	73c	73.4$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.79	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming	29c	68.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Nemiga Gaming	24c	59.31$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	245	18.8%46 W · 199 L	-31.2wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-46%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed L1ga Team	73c	52$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	164	56.7%93 W · 71 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Nemiga Gaming	24c	51.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed L1ga Team	73c	50.92$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.82	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed L1ga Team	73c	49.61$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.15	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	63cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Nemiga Gaming	29c	47.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed L1ga Team	74c	47.25$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.29	61	67.2%41 W · 20 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked L1ga Team	73c	39.35$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ef8…a126backed L1ga Team	79c	37.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.87	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed L1ga Team	72c	36.5$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	105	71.4%75 W · 30 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team	78c	28.15$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.19	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x326f…1a19backed L1ga Team	65c	22.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.91	74	56.8%42 W · 32 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked L1ga Team	61c	19.53$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.62	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)L1ga Team won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event