Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x579ae2c0acb1841ad3eec5f5a52046b056ea3a8f3c1e99b6cb6aabbe297526a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed L1ga Team | 68c | 5,769$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.85 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed L1ga Team | 66c | 4,574$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.23 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 4,070$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.24 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed L1ga Team | 68c | 1,998$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 69c | 1,781$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.03 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 1,518$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.5 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 1,482$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.88 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 1,460$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.54 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 1,441$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 1,273$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.8 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 1,207$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 69c | 1,189$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.58 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 70c | 1,107$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.06 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 1,010$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 983.36$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.84 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 923.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 917.85$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.81 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 907.18$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.31 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 838.1$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.06 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 821.58$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.69 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 786.26$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 692.31$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 683.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.33 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team | 75c | 587.81$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed L1ga Team | 68c | 505.88$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.88 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 481.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked L1ga Team | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 387.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.84 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 382.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 367.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed L1ga Team | 70c | 343.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 73c | 333.08$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked L1ga Team | 67c | 249.76$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 199.19$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 156.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 140.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 20c | 130.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 116.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 114.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 108.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 74c | 107.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 97.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed L1ga Team | 67c | 94.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 91.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked L1ga Team | 71c | 89.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 86.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af2…8bd8backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 86.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 49.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 43.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed L1ga Team | 72c | 40.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…24a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 34.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 34.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed L1ga Team | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked L1ga Team | 79c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.