Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rome: Madison Brengle vs Amelia Honer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a738bf68c1d8db1dc163f14836c4236028fc7109c93ec3f04ee8b315f19d339
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amelia Honerof Madison Brengle, Amelia Honer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Madison Brengle | 21c | 2,253$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.98 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Madison Brengle | 15c | 1,763$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.49 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Amelia Honer | 41c | 565.85$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.85 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Madison Brengle | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Madison Brengle | 15c | 348.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Madison Brengle | 24c | 325.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Madison Brengle | 17c | 308$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Madison Brengle | 23c | 268$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Madison Brengle | 16c | 215$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Madison Brengle | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Madison Brengle | 20c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Amelia Honer | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Madison Brengle | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Madison Brengle | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Madison Brengle | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Madison Brengle | 28c | 99.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Madison Brengle | 20c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Madison Brengle | 68c | 81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Madison Brengle | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Madison Brengle | 73c | 70.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Madison Brengle | 30c | 69.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Amelia Honer | 34c | 68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Amelia Honer | 38c | 66.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Madison Brengle | 30c | 65.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Madison Brengle | 28c | 61.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Madison Brengle | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Amelia Honer | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Madison Brengle | 62c | 33.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Amelia Honer | 34c | 31.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Amelia Honer | 65c | 26.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Madison Brengle | 66c | 25.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.