CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ab7410d4d74b7f9f4dc3c9b4a6b2049884279e7efe7461fee18c3da6f4784d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 37c | 4,400$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.85 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.01 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 68c | 650.05$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.79 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 46c | 346.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 321.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.27 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 68c | 316$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 67c | 253$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 68c | 235.17$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 49c | 179$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Under | 59c | 171.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 33c | 167.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 57c | 163.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Under | 62c | 156.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Under | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 67c | 132.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 597 | 32.2%192 W · 405 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 63c | 130.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Over | 37c | 128.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Under | 68c | 104.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 59c | 79.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Under | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 62.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 59c | 49.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Under | 59c | 40.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 36.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 59c | 33.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 68c | 32.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 25.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Under | 59c | 18.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 66c | 18.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier PlayoffsLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.