WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bab3444195ab7ea75a0b180df36786005e33efccd7711123edf8560968509c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Washington Mystics, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 5,220$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.19 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 3,787$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.28 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 2,550$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 1,838$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.51 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,592$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 779.39$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.28 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 739.31$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 702.45$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.08 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 592.05$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 55.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 54.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 54.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 54.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 53.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 49.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington MysticsLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.