WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb2150d7228ee748346cc62b38c500f15719b153365cb95554b0ba4a967e2090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 2,706$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.54 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 58c | 1,417$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.17 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 54c | 1,266$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.27 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 966$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.36 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 54c | 816.54$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 66c | 602.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 35c | 380.2$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 63c | 227.65$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 37c | 202.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 29c | 190.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 143.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 67c | 95.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 95.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 40c | 74.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…5e53backed Over | 65c | 63.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0d…92e9backed Over | 65c | 63.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 44c | 63.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 55.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 35c | 30.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 65c | 26.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…c61ebacked Over | 64c | 26.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington MysticsLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.