WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1857ab395379261f39997efcb5b7f27cf1bac860e4fa694422606a5771ab2605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Washington Mystics, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 8,639$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.89 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Washington Mystics | 48c | 8,359$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 4,000$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.86 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 33c | 3,398$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.15 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 1,715$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.4 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 1,457$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.89 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 1,105$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 700.74$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.33 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 531.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 438.75$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 384.65$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 315$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Washington Mystics | 27c | 268.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 229.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 213$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Mystics | 46c | 151.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 136.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 129$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 110.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Sparks | 57c | 93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 53.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 51.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Washington Mystics | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 43.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc94…a3b6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 31.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Washington Mystics | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 28.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…a58fbacked Washington Mystics | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Washington Mystics | 44c | 23.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 43cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x34e2…bb69backed Washington Mystics | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington MysticsLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.