WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45f5425bd448458e0a8fc19a6dcd57d75c33e4afab99afe1c28fbdf67a2fec5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 53c | 1,391$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.12 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 1,295$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.87 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 1,114$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.89 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,111$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 459.63$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 47c | 390$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 371.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 346$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 53c | 322.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 45c | 261.85$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 261$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 44c | 253.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 228.89$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 77c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 45c | 197.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 51c | 181.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.07 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 176$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Under | 71c | 70.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 47c | 69.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 48c | 60.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 43c | 55.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 33c | 51.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 53c | 50.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 35c | 44.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 47c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 51c | 31.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 45c | 27.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 58c | 21.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington MysticsLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 167.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.