Fifa International · resolved market
Will Australia win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb1b48f796accfeb7196be4d50359ceca3e51c4362e86bf7ddd89e96a4d2a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 3,763$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.96 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 4c | 3,630$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…3d1ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,343$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 10c | 2,283$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.05 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 9c | 2,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ee…b403backed Yes | 12c | 1,402$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 16c | 1,384$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…255dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,094$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 1,059$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 44c | 969$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.74 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Yes | 11c | 684.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…24d1backed Yes | 6c | 665.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…43f4backed Yes | 17c | 652.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5451…1acbbacked Yes | 14c | 624.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…8feebacked Yes | 9c | 514.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 15c | 501.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…62bfbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…b252backed Yes | 12c | 475.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 54c | 444$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 8c | 438.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…c720backed Yes | 5c | 415.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 16c | 400$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 394.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…e0d4backed Yes | 5c | 392.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d8…59dbbacked Yes | 7c | 384.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 11c | 337.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 16c | 316.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 15c | 305.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 287.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…1276backed Yes | 4c | 280.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 11c | 265$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Yes | 4c | 245.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Yes | 4c | 244.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…539abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 16c | 219.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 206.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…9dbebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 14c | 199.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 12c | 196.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 12c | 182.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 9c | 179.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…61b4backed Yes | 7c | 172.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 15c | 143$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…fc3fbacked Yes | 7c | 142.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 26.4%58 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…9b93backed Yes | 9c | 128.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 17c | 126$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadab…2702backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 15c | 118$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 17c | 107.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…363ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes | 17c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 184 | 35.3%65 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 72c | 24.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 77c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will Australia vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.