MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bea5c8978e8bfa022ef551801efa01a1ff9c1d5c091f9a14a4f3c542ff2989c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Angels, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,274,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,281,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,274,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 42c | 1,105,617$461,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461,775.46 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 58c | 806,900$469,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337,228.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 58c | 137,769$79,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,862.98 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Astros | 59c | 72,609$42,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,800.8 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 58c | 41,480$24,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,421.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Angels | 42c | 38,628$16,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,223.94 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Astros | 67c | 30,835$20,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,134.21 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 58c | 27,827$16,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,565.14 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Angels | 43c | 20,349$8,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,690.07 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked Astros | 58c | 19,000$11,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,980 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Astros | 59c | 7,750$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.5 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Astros | 47c | 5,774$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.3 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Angels | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 59c | 4,932$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.92 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 67c | 4,804$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Angels | 43c | 4,425$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.93 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 60c | 4,016$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Angels | 53c | 2,655$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.27 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Angels | 39c | 2,440$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.36 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Angels | 49c | 2,368$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.48 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Angels | 17c | 2,150$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.59 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Angels | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.02 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Angels | 23c | 1,350$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.67 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed Angels | 42c | 1,313$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels | 42c | 1,167$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.66 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Angels | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Angels | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Astros | 62c | 946.66$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 58c | 847$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.82 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Angels | 54c | 784.47$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.56 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Angels | 41c | 694.3$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels | 45c | 682.7$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.96 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Astros | 63c | 673.4$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.21 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 8c | 660.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 56c | 535.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Angels | 42c | 514.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.45 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 61c | 499.96$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Angels | 41c | 491$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 60c | 488.75$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Astros | 58c | 487.93$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Angels | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Angels | 44c | 456.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Angels | 39c | 453$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Angels | 41c | 439.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Astros | 59c | 432.02$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.21 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astros | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 38c | 395$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 39c | 350.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Angels | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 39c | 349.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Astros | 67c | 335.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Astros | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Angels | 42c | 272$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 59c | 244.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Astros | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Astros | 64c | 222.37$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Astros | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Astros | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 42c | 196.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 59c | 178$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Astros | 80c | 170.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Angels | 35c | 167.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 61c | 165.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Angels | 55c | 150.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Astros | 78c | 150.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Astros | 75c | 134.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…8ebcbacked Astros | 61c | 131.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Angels | 28c | 128.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Astros | 64c | 128.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 52c | 122.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Angels | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 36c | 108.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Angels | 55c | 107$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Astros | 62c | 104.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Astros | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Angels | 42c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Angels | 42c | 100.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Angels | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Astros | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Astros | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Angels | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Angels | 41c | 97.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 42c | 93.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Angels | 65c | 91.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Astros | 61c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astros | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Astros | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Astros | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…1744backed Astros | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…5203backed Astros | 59c | 75.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angels vs. Astrosthis page
- Angels vs. Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.