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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Unicorns Of Love Sexy Editionof Team Orange Gaming, Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3078…a2cbbacked Team Orange Gaming43c6,291$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70025153.8%135 W · 116 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition61c5,724$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.771,48938.4%572 W · 917 L-44.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition61c4,816$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.141,54854.8%849 W · 699 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Team Orange Gaming39c2,023$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.8312349.6%61 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition72c1,403$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.571,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition73c1,065$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.893,06644.6%1,366 W · 1,700 L-97.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Team Orange Gaming42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40061754.3%335 W · 282 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Team Orange Gaming39c837.81$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7219259.9%115 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Team Orange Gaming39c833.31$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9936343.3%157 W · 206 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Team Orange Gaming28c821.43$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306732.8%22 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition62c694.21$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9720542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Team Orange Gaming15c685.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033020.6%68 W · 262 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition54c636.62$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.842,27933%753 W · 1,526 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition64c599.49$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.821,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition73c597.63$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.022,00548.3%969 W · 1,036 L+25.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Team Orange Gaming35c499.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9961343.6%267 W · 346 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Orange Gaming36c469.99$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.296450.1%483 W · 481 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed Team Orange Gaming32c285.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4599953%529 W · 470 L+42.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition66c253.88$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3271757%409 W · 308 L+36.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Orange Gaming36c226$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4859134.2%202 W · 389 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team Orange Gaming38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,19951.8%621 W · 578 L-15.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…fc3abacked Team Orange Gaming39c186.62$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.782356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Orange Gaming32c172$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.262,92638.4%1,125 W · 1,801 L-122.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition77c170.61$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.941,97142.5%837 W · 1,134 L-43.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Team Orange Gaming35c166.66$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9797248.8%474 W · 498 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Team Orange Gaming26c158.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.324938.8%19 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked Team Orange Gaming14c135.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0229946.8%140 W · 159 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Orange Gaming12c130$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,61417.5%283 W · 1,331 L-246.8wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Orange Gaming40c124.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.741,25849.9%628 W · 630 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Orange Gaming33c122.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4930637.6%115 W · 191 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.421940.6%89 W · 130 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.422838.6%88 W · 140 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2de1…e01bbacked Team Orange Gaming12c115.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+67.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Orange Gaming21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5982742.9%355 W · 472 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Team Orange Gaming35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,39849.4%691 W · 707 L-20.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition65c73.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8551044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709f…6933backed Team Orange Gaming38c73.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition64c72.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2253849.4%266 W · 272 L+29.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3352247.3%247 W · 275 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b47…1540backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition61c53.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823359.7%139 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Team Orange Gaming39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ea…2675backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition64c46.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6234256.1%192 W · 150 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61,11739.6%442 W · 675 L-80.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Team Orange Gaming25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052347.8%250 W · 273 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Team Orange Gaming39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522043.6%96 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2f…0115backed Team Orange Gaming38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.439655.1%218 W · 178 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition57c25.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1746762.3%291 W · 176 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4213839.9%55 W · 83 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff85…e923backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition65c24.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.569339.8%37 W · 56 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21,27052.8%671 W · 599 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition62c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8437343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.