TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sarasota: Stefan Dostanic vs Saba Purtseladze

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefan Dostanicof Stefan Dostanic, Saba Purtseladze
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68af…ca81backed Saba Purtseladze11c2,431$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.921720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Saba Purtseladze8c1,367$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6530225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Saba Purtseladze22c1,145$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.983,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd636…015cbacked Saba Purtseladze17c263.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.73812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Stefan Dostanic80c247.12$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5284963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Stefan Dostanic79c187.6$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.42,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saba Purtseladze20c186.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.096,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Saba Purtseladze22c173.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1334637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Stefan Dostanic74c158.49$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2189364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Saba Purtseladze13c145.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9619926.6%53 W · 146 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Saba Purtseladze21c143.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.213450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Stefan Dostanic78c133.25$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Stefan Dostanic79c99.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2184968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Saba Purtseladze25c99.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9346556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Stefan Dostanic74c99.21$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7917656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Saba Purtseladze23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9430715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Stefan Dostanic75c66.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6410454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Stefan Dostanic73c54.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7966452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Stefan Dostanic78c50.61$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1388560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Stefan Dostanic74c37.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7822963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Stefan Dostanic79c30.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.438968.5%61 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Stefan Dostanic79c25.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3110474%77 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick73cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Stefan Dostanic79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2571165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stefan Dostanic79c23.96$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x280e…2779backed Stefan Dostanic79c22.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.634742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.