Tennis · resolved market
Livesport Prague Open: Xinyu Gao vs Lilli Tagger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d88d68cdfeb07f5ecab9c92be1c5baa6b2004bcdc56eeb8d4fbc5aa1eb05538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lilli Taggerof Xinyu Gao, Lilli Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinyu Gao | 20c | 25,027$4,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,937.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Xinyu Gao | 18c | 6,644$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.36 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lilli Tagger | 72c | 4,913$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.27 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…1a6bbacked Lilli Tagger | 79c | 4,850$3,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Xinyu Gao | 31c | 3,082$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.65 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Xinyu Gao | 3c | 2,788$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lilli Tagger | 76c | 2,130$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Xinyu Gao | 23c | 1,757$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Xinyu Gao | 21c | 1,428$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lilli Tagger | 80c | 1,383$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.66 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lilli Tagger | 71c | 1,000$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.33 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f7…d106backed Xinyu Gao | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Lilli Tagger | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Xinyu Gao | 33c | 770.62$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.12 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Lilli Tagger | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xinyu Gao | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…bf96backed Xinyu Gao | 39c | 583.97$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Lilli Tagger | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Xinyu Gao | 21c | 545.88$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Lilli Tagger | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Xinyu Gao | 22c | 470.72$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Xinyu Gao | 8c | 413.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Xinyu Gao | 8c | 400.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Lilli Tagger | 66c | 378.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Xinyu Gao | 18c | 338.38$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Lilli Tagger | 70c | 327.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Xinyu Gao | 22c | 302.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lilli Tagger | 60c | 289.44$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e8d8backed Lilli Tagger | 78c | 256.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Xinyu Gao | 15c | 251.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Xinyu Gao | 20c | 206.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lilli Tagger | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Xinyu Gao | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Xinyu Gao | 36c | 176.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Lilli Tagger | 62c | 176.05$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Xinyu Gao | 28c | 170$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Xinyu Gao | 25c | 163.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Xinyu Gao | 35c | 159.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Xinyu Gao | 21c | 157.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Lilli Tagger | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 115 | 67%77 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xinyu Gao | 35c | 141.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Xinyu Gao | 36c | 138.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Lilli Tagger | 78c | 129.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Xinyu Gao | 36c | 123.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilli Tagger | 79c | 120.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Xinyu Gao | 38c | 117.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lilli Tagger | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Xinyu Gao | 14c | 116.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Lilli Tagger | 64c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Xinyu Gao | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Lilli Tagger | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lilli Tagger | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Lilli Tagger | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…2236backed Xinyu Gao | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…fe38backed Lilli Tagger | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lilli Tagger | 61c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Lilli Tagger | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Xinyu Gao | 38c | 43.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Lilli Tagger | 59c | 42.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Lilli Tagger | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lilli Tagger | 62c | 41.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Xinyu Gao | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked Lilli Tagger | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Lilli Tagger | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Lilli Tagger | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Lilli Tagger | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Lilli Tagger | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 180 | 68.9%124 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Xinyu Gao | 38c | 29.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Xinyu Gao | 35c | 28.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Xinyu Gao | 38c | 27.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Lilli Tagger | 76c | 26.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 77cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…0d78backed Lilli Tagger | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…50c7backed Lilli Tagger | 78c | 21.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Lilli Tagger | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…008cbacked Lilli Tagger | 76c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Lilli Tagger | 63c | 15.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Livesport Prague Open: Xinyu Gao vs Lilli Taggerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Gao vs TaggerTagger won
- Set Handicap: Gao (-1.5) vs Tagger (+1.5)Tagger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.