CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de46abfbe79aba6fc7449c12189cde9588ea79230d344eb8cf059ca36f8fb72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Nexus, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 135.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nexus | 51c | 113.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nexus | 23c | 109.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nexus | 40c | 106.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nexus | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nexus | 17c | 72.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 50.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nexus | 51c | 49.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nexus | 38c | 46.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nexus | 53c | 40.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Nexus | 54c | 32.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nexus | 47c | 24.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In group CBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.