CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72834ab610bb4be56e82f325534a9a44adcbd195b361805b4af915ac3f3d3924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Nexus, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 2,923$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.96 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Nexus | 52c | 2,310$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.98 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 899.27$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 851.03$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.29 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 848.98$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nexus | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 455.82$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 206 | 53.9%111 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Nexus | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Nexus | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Nexus | 50c | 393.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nexus | 50c | 385.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 486 | 54.5%265 W · 221 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 359.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nexus | 53c | 294.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Nexus | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Nexus | 52c | 276.63$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nexus | 51c | 232.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 499 | 52.3%261 W · 238 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Nexus | 52c | 224.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked Nexus | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Nexus | 52c | 190.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Nexus | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Nexus | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nexus | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nexus | 49c | 146.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Nexus | 51c | 124.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Nexus | 53c | 123.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 121.41$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nexus | 47c | 121.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Nexus | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 118.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 114$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Nexus | 54c | 109.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Nexus | 55c | 108.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Nexus | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 95.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nexus | 53c | 94.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Nexus | 51c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Nexus | 48c | 74.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nexus | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nexus | 64c | 67.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 65.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nexus | 62c | 63.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nexus | 53c | 59.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Nexus | 53c | 49.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nexus | 50c | 47.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 42.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 431 | 55.9%241 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Nexus | 50c | 41.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 30cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…a65cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 40.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 39.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Nexus | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 120 | 71.7%86 W · 34 L | +16.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 33.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nexus | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 29.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Nexus | 47c | 26.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Nexus | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.