Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8deb5b3dc91aee87c983b610a6df158c265b8a6e7593a1313f20723cd6ca7e50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc906…3b88backed No | 3c | 2,816$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 78c | 509$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 61c | 327.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 301.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 68c | 293.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 251.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 242.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 6c | 238.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 72c | 216.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…8d26backed Yes | 42c | 163.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 38c | 160.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…ddc3backed No | 63c | 153.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 17c | 141.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 41c | 118.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 28c | 103.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa045…282abacked Yes | 37c | 100.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 40c | 97.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 39c | 93.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 17c | 85.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 61c | 81.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 41c | 80.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed Yes | 31c | 79.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 75.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 65c | 75.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 73.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 39c | 65.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 78c | 64.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 63.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 36c | 54.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 37c | 51.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…13f1backed No | 67c | 51.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 38c | 50.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 60c | 50.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd54b…b008backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…ae97backed Yes | 31c | 47.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 65c | 45.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 32c | 43.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 25c | 40.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7453…aee6backed Yes | 32c | 40.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 39c | 40.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…2ea5backed No | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde08…b228backed No | 48c | 39.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…6e9dbacked Yes | 32c | 38.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38c…ff1bbacked Yes | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 32c | 36.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 69c | 34.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 63c | 34.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 33.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 62c | 32.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…b13bbacked Yes | 64c | 30.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed No | 65c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 45c | 29.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 36c | 28.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…d74cbacked No | 40c | 26.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…6262backed Yes | 74c | 26.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…207ebacked Yes | 74c | 26.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…e815backed Yes | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 76c | 24.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139c…97c4backed Yes | 48c | 24.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…cdbabacked Yes | 80c | 24.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…f73bbacked Yes | 73c | 24.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 64c | 23.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 61c | 22.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 65c | 22.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 61c | 21.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…eab4backed No | 76c | 20.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 77cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked No | 70c | 20.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 55c | 20.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…a59bbacked Yes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 62c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5f41backed Yes | 60c | 19.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…a713backed Yes | 54c | 19.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 54c | 19.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…af41backed No | 60c | 18.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 65c | 18.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 65c | 15.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…9c59backed Yes | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.