TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Golden Gophersof Minnesota Golden Gophers, Northwestern Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,399
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,399 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers58c4,623$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Northwestern Wildcats56c2,584$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.3455657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northwestern Wildcats20c2,470$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.111,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers38c1,947$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.141,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Minnesota Golden Gophers43c1,540$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.5712354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Northwestern Wildcats36c1,390$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.672,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers52c1,237$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.54,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern Wildcats66c1,088$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.081,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Northwestern Wildcats49c1,046$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.471,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Northwestern Wildcats8c1,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8413313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Northwestern Wildcats62c920.39$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.6446446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Golden Gophers28c895.26$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.385,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers47c847.79$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.451,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae7…9c7dbacked Northwestern Wildcats32c833.32$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern Wildcats62c784.61$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.782,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c86…8a89backed Northwestern Wildcats72c704.34$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats66c557.79$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.173,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Northwestern Wildcats47c439.75$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9873549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Northwestern Wildcats9c369$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.211,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats54c305.93$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.762,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Northwestern Wildcats9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Northwestern Wildcats8c299.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Northwestern Wildcats30c255$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.552,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Northwestern Wildcats8c235.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4438343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Minnesota Golden Gophers23c207$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.3842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked Northwestern Wildcats9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183312.1%4 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Northwestern Wildcats9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181048.7%9 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Northwestern Wildcats44c194$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2161446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers37c162.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.33737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers39c125$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.111,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Northwestern Wildcats62c117$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Minnesota Golden Gophers69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3164322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a1…a993backed Minnesota Golden Gophers22c92.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.271421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Golden Gophers19c82.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.764,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Northwestern Wildcats79c71.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.212,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Minnesota Golden Gophers31c53.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1514846.6%69 W · 79 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Minnesota Golden Gophers32c42.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.951,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Minnesota Golden Gophers72c31.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7412840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Northwestern Wildcats40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Northwestern Wildcats73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Northwestern Wildcats60c26.43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8611743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northwestern Wildcats72c24.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.881,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb694…023ebacked Northwestern Wildcats67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.