Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Liberty Flames vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e79d30f0c47bdb1bb7cb14de17061f0c3f2a7f97b4a0842bfdf9622cd0f0d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liberty Flamesof Liberty Flames, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liberty Flames | 69c | 2,024$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liberty Flames | 68c | 1,596$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.57 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 17c | 1,368$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 31c | 1,307$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 31c | 1,231$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 1,199$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.76 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 12c | 1,021$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 9c | 921$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Liberty Flames | 77c | 912.07$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 885.76$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.89 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty Flames | 79c | 486.46$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 466$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 14c | 424.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 15c | 326.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 13c | 239.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liberty Flames | 79c | 212.28$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liberty Flames | 66c | 186.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Liberty Flames | 71c | 182.18$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 31c | 168$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Liberty Flames | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 118.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 100.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames | 65c | 96.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 29c | 88.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…79b6backed Liberty Flames | 67c | 61.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Liberty Flames | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Liberty Flames | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 34.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 35c | 34.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 32c | 31.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…e43ebacked Liberty Flames | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Liberty Flames | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Liberty Flames | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Liberty Flames | 72c | 23.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…0eb0backed Liberty Flames | 69c | 22.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Liberty Flames | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Liberty Flames vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsthis page
- Liberty Flames vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 133.5Under won
- Liberty Flames vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 134.5Under won
- Spread: Liberty Flames (-4.5)Liberty Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.