Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f07ea08b6df7b53f5f95dbaa64eb262376dfbda69740ef5fd2c81a857856810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida International Golden Panthersof Missouri State Bears, Florida International Golden Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 78c | 5,032$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.37 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Missouri State Bears | 34c | 2,453$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Missouri State Bears | 14c | 1,628$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Missouri State Bears | 27c | 1,561$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.78 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri State Bears | 33c | 1,273$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 73c | 1,199$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 70c | 1,186$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.85 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Missouri State Bears | 19c | 1,023$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 78c | 480.15$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 64c | 420.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 62c | 401$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Missouri State Bears | 30c | 337.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Missouri State Bears | 39c | 300$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Missouri State Bears | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Missouri State Bears | 39c | 257.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Missouri State Bears | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39c…7cbfbacked Missouri State Bears | 5c | 211.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri State Bears | 16c | 199.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Missouri State Bears | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ba…1783backed Missouri State Bears | 26c | 193.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 64c | 181.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 63c | 173.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 59c | 140.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Missouri State Bears | 38c | 131.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 67c | 128$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 76c | 128$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri State Bears | 37c | 126.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 74c | 118$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 60c | 113.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 63c | 111$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Missouri State Bears | 20c | 103.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Missouri State Bears | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 71c | 95.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Missouri State Bears | 29c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri State Bears | 24c | 81.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 69c | 72.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Missouri State Bears | 28c | 69.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Missouri State Bears | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 78c | 45.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 75c | 42.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed Missouri State Bears | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Florida International Golden Panthers | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthersthis page
- Missouri State Bears vs. Florida International Golden Panthers: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.