TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: m1x vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
QUAZARof m1x, QUAZAR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad72…4f5ebacked QUAZAR69c4,509$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.1324538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR52c3,735$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.896,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked m1x1c3,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445211.5%6 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid+16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked QUAZAR56c3,030$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.042,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked m1x1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20751.3%1 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed m1x46c1,887$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.215,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed m1x1c1,800$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261921.1%4 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick5cpaid+137.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked m1x1c1,800$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262321.7%5 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick5cpaid+194.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed m1x2c1,100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222540%10 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.32per pick8cpaid+215.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked m1x2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed m1x12c958$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1445224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed m1x49c943.38$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.051,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed m1x12c920$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.868838.6%34 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed m1x11c917$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5721739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked m1x15c913$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1315935.2%56 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked QUAZAR61c894.34$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.083,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed m1x39c892.55$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.741,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed m1x31c666$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4633237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked m1x48c610$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1548948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed m1x22c566$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7545240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked m1x17c563$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4431328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked m1x8c530$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.336334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked m1x50c445$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3449745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked QUAZAR47c357.15$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4719540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked m1x51c322$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3338942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed m1x59c319.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.795,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR43c312.15$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.057,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked m1x46c306.35$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.213,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed m1x11c293$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1336845.9%169 W · 199 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed m1x11c293$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1357935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed QUAZAR46c272.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.894,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed m1x43c233.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed m1x61c229.44$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13930254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked m1x42c226.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4440635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf868…3b45backed QUAZAR74c224.11$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1111841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed QUAZAR61c214.37$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed m1x10c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194827.1%13 W · 35 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked QUAZAR73c194$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3815646.8%73 W · 83 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7612…b680backed QUAZAR59c186$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.26875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+81%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked QUAZAR48c178.06$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.153,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed QUAZAR74c175.76$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7921867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed m1x51c175.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909347.3%44 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked QUAZAR36c165.07$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.951,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed QUAZAR40c163.85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5528660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed QUAZAR71c159$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2649850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked QUAZAR50c144.88$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8429555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed QUAZAR63c140.11$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2636649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed QUAZAR75c133.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.444546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed QUAZAR26c130.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.272,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed m1x71c129.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.294,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked m1x71c129.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2736151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed m1x64c126.39$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8915544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed m1x48c121.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1951755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed m1x54c120.6$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6554439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed m1x48c119.32$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.433215.6%5 W · 27 L-8.2wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed QUAZAR62c110$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.412948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cd6…ff34backed QUAZAR64c106.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.054856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed m1x73c106$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.929647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed m1x15c101.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.696322.2%14 W · 49 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed m1x53c96.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.242,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed m1x41c88.75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.541,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked QUAZAR30c81.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8640652.2%212 W · 194 L+22.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed QUAZAR33c81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.471,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked QUAZAR42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.41,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked m1x26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked QUAZAR34c75.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked m1x66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce0…d031backed m1x36c74.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273850%19 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd612…0477backed QUAZAR68c73.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.163961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed QUAZAR60c71.29$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7121351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed m1x71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed m1x65c65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.264439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed QUAZAR46c61.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.366654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a8…b852backed QUAZAR26c52.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed QUAZAR57c51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.782,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e90…0bd0backed QUAZAR73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a84…1b1ebacked m1x63c47.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303366.7%22 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed QUAZAR56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.64955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x673e…b0d0backed QUAZAR25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3468…754fbacked m1x54c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…1d32backed m1x55c38.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.034030%12 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked m1x60c37.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.327744.2%34 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked m1x53c35.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed m1x52c35.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7222324.7%55 W · 168 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x195f…8397backed QUAZAR71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.211770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f23…1db5backed QUAZAR59c33.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7465…2477backed QUAZAR60c33.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8932…1cc4backed QUAZAR61c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.427751.9%40 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc08e…ebfdbacked m1x51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.682334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2820…dccdbacked QUAZAR63c28.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked QUAZAR42c27.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2432351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…fd1dbacked QUAZAR56c27.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf949…5643backed QUAZAR62c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.26650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed m1x65c25.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7216349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7125…a5aabacked m1x78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-4.9wins-0.55per pick77cpaid-71.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed QUAZAR41c24.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3347053.2%250 W · 220 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed m1x80c24.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.432662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked QUAZAR46c22.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2944563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed QUAZAR47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6548635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9670…62b6backed QUAZAR72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.