CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f6e2d04581f0c3eb7490e365b72aceeaf9e7351f597164e35980e35f1afc6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Misa Esports | 20c | 3,536$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.89 | 433 | 52.9%229 W · 204 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 14c | 2,371$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.56 | 1,461 | 39.3%574 W · 887 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Misa Esports | 28c | 906.24$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Bebop | 64c | 899.64$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.31 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bebop | 64c | 879.97$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.11 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 756.56$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.71 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed Misa Esports | 40c | 745.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | -18.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 30c | 684.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Misa Esports | 48c | 677.08$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.78 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Misa Esports | 34c | 591$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Misa Esports | 37c | 500.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.36 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Bebop | 63c | 482.81$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 274 | 46.4%127 W · 147 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Misa Esports | 28c | 449.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Misa Esports | 48c | 410$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 26c | 373.01$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 40c | 330.49$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Bebop | 62c | 284.89$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 433 | 55.2%239 W · 194 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Misa Esports | 38c | 257.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Misa Esports | 34c | 256.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…c6cfbacked Misa Esports | 8c | 255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Misa Esports | 48c | 246.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Misa Esports | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 35c | 197$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Bebop | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 41c | 167.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 31c | 146$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 2,606 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L | +96.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Misa Esports | 31c | 110.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Misa Esports | 36c | 107.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 549 | 49.4%271 W · 278 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Misa Esports | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,388 | 66.3%920 W · 468 L | +75.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Misa Esports | 32c | 94.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Bebop | 59c | 85.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Bebop | 70c | 71.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports | 32c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 20c | 64.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Misa Esports | 32c | 62.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Bebop | 55c | 60.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 255 | 42.4%108 W · 147 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bebop | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Misa Esports | 27c | 37.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 705 | 42%296 W · 409 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Misa Esports | 48c | 35.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 631 | 55.3%349 W · 282 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Bebop | 62c | 34.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1,549 | 51.3%795 W · 754 L | -11.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bebop | 72c | 22.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…51bdbacked Bebop | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Bebop | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group DBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Bebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.