CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e6ac8f6d515ed89cc96f19032ac32ec319f6a793aeac567554919bb8c0d205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Bebop | 71c | 5,407$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.09 | 433 | 52.9%229 W · 204 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bebop | 72c | 3,368$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.96 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Misa Esports | 31c | 3,148$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.11 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Bebop | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 193 | 58%112 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bebop | 67c | 2,408$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.69 | 1,461 | 39.3%574 W · 887 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Misa Esports | 26c | 2,068$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Misa Esports | 33c | 1,100$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Bebop | 79c | 998.82$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Misa Esports | 24c | 895.52$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…c657backed Misa Esports | 24c | 725.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.06 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 37c | 695.49$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bebop | 73c | 557.04$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 2,707 | 47.9%1,296 W · 1,411 L | -30.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 55c | 548.07$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 511.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.43 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Misa Esports | 28c | 505.52$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Misa Esports | 22c | 490$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 340 | 49.7%169 W · 171 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 461.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop | 65c | 384.04$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Bebop | 74c | 353.82$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 433 | 55.2%239 W · 194 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Misa Esports | 17c | 345.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.53 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Misa Esports | 38c | 332.46$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.34 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…08a5backed Misa Esports | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 219.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…6be5backed Misa Esports | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports | 32c | 208.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 2,589 | 41.2%1,066 W · 1,523 L | -123.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Misa Esports | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Misa Esports | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Misa Esports | 29c | 182.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bebop | 71c | 182$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Bebop | 50c | 145.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 14c | 143.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Bebop | 63c | 143.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 638 | 48.4%309 W · 329 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Misa Esports | 21c | 138.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Bebop | 79c | 131.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 549 | 49.4%271 W · 278 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Bebop | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Misa Esports | 59c | 106.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 829 | 42.5%352 W · 477 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Misa Esports | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Misa Esports | 39c | 101.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd87a…540dbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 101.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Misa Esports | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Misa Esports | 28c | 99.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 631 | 55.3%349 W · 282 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 57c | 96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1,634 | 43.2%706 W · 928 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Bebop | 57c | 85.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bebop | 79c | 85.84$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Bebop | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 283 | 53.4%151 W · 132 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,673 | 32.7%547 W · 1,126 L | -48.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bebop | 66c | 81.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked Misa Esports | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Bebop | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Misa Esports | 25c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Bebop | 75c | 36.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed Bebop | 64c | 34.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bebop | 69c | 32.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,335 | 44%588 W · 747 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Bebop | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Bebop | 72c | 28.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 748 | 53.5%400 W · 348 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 27.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bebop | 64c | 21.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked Bebop | 78c | 21.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Bebop | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group DBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerBebop won
- Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Bebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.